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1 <?xml version="1.0" standalone="no" ?>
2 <!DOCTYPE message PUBLIC "-//TSN//DTD Preview 1.0/EN" "nflpreviewxml.dtd">
3 <message>
4 <XML_File_ID>6796800</XML_File_ID>
5 <heading>ABV!PREVIEW-ATL-TAM</heading>
6 <game_id>2344</game_id>
7 <schedule_id>2344</schedule_id>
8 <category>Previews</category>
9 <sport>NFL</sport>
10 <title>
11 NFL Preview - Atlanta (3-10) at Tampa Bay (8-5)
12 </title>
13 <Game_Date>12/16/2007</Game_Date>
14 <Game_Time>01:00 PM</Game_Time>
15 <vteam>Atlanta</vteam>
16 <hteam>Tampa Bay</hteam>
17 <body>
18 <P>
19 By Tony Moss, NFL Editor
20
21 </P>
22 <P>
23 (Sports Network) - Is there anywhere better to put an end to a tumultuous week
24 than beautiful Tampa, Florida?
25
26 </P>
27 <P>
28 Perhaps not, though the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will be trying to prolong, not
29 curtail, the misery of the visiting Atlanta Falcons on Sunday.
30
31 </P>
32 <P>
33 The struggling Falcons began the week with a 34-14 home blowout at the hands
34 of the New Orleans Saints, a game that came just hours after one-time face-of-
35 the-franchise Michael Vick was sentenced to 23 months in federal prison for
36 his role in a dogfighting venture.
37
38 </P>
39 <P>
40 Less than 24 hours after the pummeling at the hands of the Saints, the Falcons
41 were blindsided by the news that first-year head coach Bobby Petrino had
42 resigned with three games left in order to take the same job at the University
43 of Arkansas.
44
45 </P>
46 <P>
47 Petrino will be replaced on an interim basis by defensive backs coach Emmitt
48 Thomas, who gets his first opportunity to serve as a head coach after 27
49 seasons spent as an assistant with the Cardinals (1981-85), Redskins
50 (1986-94), Eagles (1995-98), Packers (1999), Vikings (2000-01), and Falcons
51 (2002-Present). Thomas, who will be trying to halt Atlanta's losing streak at
52 four games, was a defensive coordinator with Philadelphia, Green Bay, and
53 Minnesota.
54
55 </P>
56 <P>
57 Thomas' first head coaching assignment will be a difficult one, as his team
58 goes into battle against a Tampa Bay club on the verge of wrapping up its
59 second NFC South title in the last three years.
60
61 </P>
62 <P>
63 The Buccaneers missed on an opportunity to clinch the division title when they
64 came out flat in a 28-14 loss at Houston last Sunday, but Jon Gruden's squad
65 needs just one win in its final three games, or one New Orleans loss in its
66 final three, to take the NFC South crown.
67
68 </P>
69 <P>
70 Tampa Bay (8-5) begins Week 15 ranked fourth in the NFL hierarchy behind
71 Dallas (12-1), Green Bay (11-2), and Seattle (9-4).
72
73 </P>
74
75 <P>
76 SERIES HISTORY
77
78 </P>
79 <P>
80 Tampa Bay holds a 16-12 edge in its all-time series with Atlanta, including a
81 31-7 win at the Georgia Dome when the teams met in Week 11. The Falcons swept
82 the home-and-home last season, scoring a 14-3 home win in Week 2, and claiming
83 a 17-6 decision in the return matchup at Raymond James Stadium in Week 14.
84 The Bucs scored a home-and-home sweep of the Falcons in 2005.
85
86 </P>
87 <P>
88 Gruden has a career mark of 8-4 against the Falcons, including a win while
89 with the Oakland Raiders in 2000. Thomas, who served on the Philadelphia
90 Eagles staff with Gruden from 1995 through 1997, will, as mentioned, be acting
91 as a head coach for the first time since breaking in as an assistant with the
92 St. Louis Cardinals in 1981.
93
94 </P>
95
96 <P>
97 WHEN THE FALCONS HAVE THE BALL
98
99 </P>
100 <P>
101 With Petrino no longer calling the shots, and Thomas having made his career on
102 the defensive side of the ball, the Atlanta offense figures to be in the sole
103 control of coordinator Hue Jackson on Sunday. Jackson's unit ranks 24th in the
104 league in total offense (301.1 yards per game), including 16th in passing
105 (209.7 yards per game) and 26th in rushing (91.4 yards per game). Chris Redman
106 (479 passing yards, 4 TD, 2 INT) will get his second straight start behind
107 center, after completing 23-of-40 passes for 298 yards, two touchdowns, and an
108 interception in the New Orleans loss. Wideouts Roddy White (65 receptions, 5
109 TD) and Michael Jenkins (51 receptions, 4 TD) both caught TDs in the defeat,
110 with Jenkins' nine catches for 83 yards both pacing the team. White needs five
111 more receiving yards to become Atlanta's first 1,000-yard receiver since
112 Terance Mathis in 1999. Warrick Dunn (603 rushing yards, 3 TD, 33 receptions)
113 and Jerious Norwood (463 rushing yards, 1 TD, 25 receptions) once again figure
114 to share carries in the running game. An injury-depleted Falcons line has
115 allowed 42 sacks on the year, fourth-most in the league.
116
117 </P>
118 <P>
119 The Tampa Bay defense ranks third overall (298.2 yards per game) in the NFL
120 but comes off an overall rough day in Houston, one in which it allowed Texans
121 backup QB Sage Rosenfels to throw three touchdown passes and complete 27-of-36
122 pass attempts for 209 yards. A secondary that had been an overall team
123 strength all year behind the work of cornerback Ronde Barber (57 tackles, 1
124 sack, 1 INT) and safety Jermaine Phillips (76 tackles, 3 INT, 1 sack) will be
125 seeking a bounce-back effort against the Falcons. That group will need help
126 from a pass rushing group led recently by emerging first-year end Greg White
127 (23 tackles). The 28-year-old former Arena League star finished with three
128 sacks, two forced fumbles, five tackles, and a pass deflection in the loss to
129 Houston, a team that drafted him in 2002 before cutting him. Despite working
130 in a situational role, White leads Tampa Bay with 8.5 sacks on the year, and
131 has six sacks and six forced fumbles in his last four games combined. The
132 Buccaneers are 15th in the league against the run (103.3 yards per game), with
133 linebackers Barrett Ruud (100 tackles, 2 INT) and Derrick Brooks (101 tackles)
134 ranking as the team's best ground stoppers this season.
135
136 </P>
137
138 <P>
139 WHEN THE BUCCANEERS HAVE THE BALL
140
141 </P>
142 <P>
143 After playing the better part of three games without starting quarterback Jeff
144 Garcia (2135 passing yards, 11 TD, 3 INT) in the lineup, the crafty veteran is
145 slated to make his return from a back injury this week. Tampa Bay went 1-1 in
146 games started by backup Luke McCown (588 passing yards, 2 TD, 1 INT), who
147 threw for 266 yards in last week's loss to Houston but was also sacked four
148 times and lost a key fumble that set up the Texans' final touchdown. A bigger
149 injury concern for the Bucs entering Sunday's contest concerns wideout Ike
150 Hilliard (58 receptions, 1 TD), who leads Tampa Bay in receptions and left the
151 Houston game with what was termed an upper back injury. Hilliard is considered
152 questionable, and will likely be replaced by Michael Clayton (10 receptions)
153 if he can't go. Joey Galloway (55 receptions, 6 TD), who is 22 yards shy of
154 going over 1,000 yards for the third straight year, will continue to serve as
155 the Bucs' deep threat. Running back Earnest Graham (798 rushing yards, 9 TD,
156 42 receptions) scored both Tampa TDs last week but was otherwise quiet on a
157 day in which he carried 15 times for 61 yards. The Buccaneers are just 19th in
158 the league in total offense (323.6 yards per game), but have thrown an NFL-low
159 five interceptions on the season.
160
161 </P>
162 <P>
163 The Falcons have had their struggles against both the run and the pass this
164 season, problems that were both in evidence in Monday's loss to the Saints.
165 Atlanta surrendered 100 ground yards on 20 carries to one-time New Orleans
166 third-string running back Aaron Stecker, marking the first 100-yard
167 performance by a Saints back this year. The Falcons also had little clue
168 against the New Orleans passing attack, allowing Drew Brees to throw for 328
169 yards and three touchdowns without a sack, while wideouts Marques Colston and
170 David Patten combined for 18 catches and 214 yards through the air.
171 Cornerbacks DeAngelo Hall (54 tackles, 4 INT) and Chris Houston (47 tackles)
172 will have to be much better against Galloway and company than they were on
173 Monday night. A run defense that ranks just 27th in the league (123.7 yards
174 per game) has received its biggest contributions this year from the
175 linebacking corps of Keith Brooking (82 tackles, 2 sacks) in the middle and
176 Michael Boley (101 tackles, 3 sacks, 2 INT) and Demorrio Williams (60 tackles,
177 2 INT) on the flanks. Williams had a team-high eight tackles against the
178 Saints.
179
180 </P>
181
182 <P>
183 FANTASY FOCUS
184
185 </P>
186 <P>
187 Redman put up a nice passing total against the Saints, but remember that the
188 Tampa Bay defense is much stronger than that of New Orleans. If the former
189 Louisville product throws for 200 yards this week, it will be an
190 accomplishment. Roddy White remains a solid start at the receiver position,
191 and Alge Crumpler always has potential as a tight end, but don't risk your
192 fantasy playoff chances by using any other Falcons.
193
194 </P>
195 <P>
196 On the Tampa Bay side, Galloway and Graham are must-starts against the Atlanta
197 defense, and Garcia, though probably rusty coming off the injury, is worth
198 considering due to his lack of mistakes. The Buccaneer defense doesn't force a
199 ton of turnovers, but has the ability to put strong sack numbers up against
200 the Falcons.
201
202 </P>
203
204 <P>
205 OVERALL ANALYSIS
206
207 </P>
208 <P>
209 Coming off an emotional and important win in New Orleans the week before, the
210 Buccaneers' flat effort against a desperate Texans team in Houston last Sunday
211 wasn't a huge surprise. Now back home with their starting quarterback in tow,
212 look for the Buccaneers to get back to the business of playing solid football
213 this week. Atlanta might come out fired up for a quarter or so given the
214 circumstances of a difficult week, but once things start going poorly for
215 this less-than-talented team, they'll begin packing it in.
216
217 </P>
218
219 <P>
220 Sports Network Predicted Outcome: Buccaneers 27, Falcons 7
221
222 </P>
223
224 </body>
225 <time_stamp>December 13, 2007, at 01:25 PM ET</time_stamp>
226 </message>